K KalshiWeather & Climate

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES6% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–30%
30d -29 pts · 7d +25 pts
24h volume
425
$1 contracts
Open interest
52.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
5¢ / 8¢
spread 3.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
5.0¢ 25 8.0¢ 150
4.0¢ 100 9.0¢ 10,688
3.0¢ 15 10.0¢ 4,300
2.0¢ 408 11.0¢ 934
1.0¢ 201 12.0¢ 797

Mid 6.5¢ · spread 3.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO97¢ 1,059$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.