What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 28, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Feb 28, 2027 (120d) All outcomes: Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

chance of YES78% +10.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

28–77%

30d +108 pts · 7d +45 pts

24h volume

1.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

21.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$7K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 1:02 AM ET	YES	67¢	2,000	$1K
Oct 26, 8:07 AM ET	YES	65¢	2,525	$2K
Oct 24, 6:37 AM ET	YES	54¢	6,587	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.