Will Benjamin Netanyahu be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Settles Oct 27, 2027 (361d) All outcomes: Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

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chance of YES18% -4.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–27%
24h volume
5.9K
$1 contracts
Open interest
17.9K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
13¢ / 15¢
spread 2.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
13.0¢ 57 15.0¢ 27
12.0¢ 72 16.0¢ 475
11.0¢ 993 20.0¢ 474
8.0¢ 95 21.0¢ 31
7.0¢ 900 26.0¢ 20

Mid 14.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO98¢ 1,484$1K
NO97¢ 1,877$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.