What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 19, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Rubio Fierros vs Strode

chance of YES100%

Price range (8h)

74–99%

24h volume

84.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

65.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$28K

100% on YES

hourly, 8h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET	YES	99¢	4,628	$5K
Nov 4, 9:04 PM ET	YES	91¢	5,406	$5K
Nov 4, 8:56 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,609	$2K
Nov 4, 8:51 PM ET	YES	99¢	4,244	$4K
Nov 4, 8:50 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,879	$2K
Nov 4, 8:50 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,606	$2K
Nov 4, 8:46 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,341	$1K
Nov 4, 8:45 PM ET	YES	94¢	1,567	$1K
Nov 4, 8:45 PM ET	YES	94¢	1,102	$1K
Nov 4, 8:45 PM ET	YES	93¢	1,200	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.