What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 19, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Tamm vs Peliwo

chance of YES100%

Price range (5h)

48–99%

24h volume

65.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

30.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$22K

100% on YES

hourly, 5h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 4, 10:20 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,000	$3K
Nov 4, 10:15 PM ET	YES	94¢	5,042	$5K
Nov 4, 10:07 PM ET	YES	89¢	1,621	$1K
Nov 4, 9:56 PM ET	YES	93¢	3,210	$3K
Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET	YES	91¢	8,000	$7K
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET	YES	73¢	1,548	$1K
Nov 4, 9:42 PM ET	YES	62¢	1,662	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.