What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 13, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Ellis vs Sekulic

chance of YES0%

Price range (9h)

1–56%

24h volume

892.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

428.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$240K

64% on YES

hourly, 9h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 10:24 PM ET	NO	95¢	1,918	$2K
Oct 30, 10:23 PM ET	NO	83¢	1,627	$1K
Oct 30, 10:23 PM ET	NO	83¢	7,253	$6K
Oct 30, 10:23 PM ET	NO	83¢	1,900	$2K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	NO	47¢	2,542	$1K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	YES	92¢	1,627	$1K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	YES	84¢	4,896	$4K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	YES	82¢	117,804	$97K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	YES	79¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	YES	68¢	2,515	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.