What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 13, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Ellis vs Sekulic

chance of YES100%

Price range (7h)

44–99%

24h volume

470.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

202.4K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$83K

78% on YES

hourly, 7h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 10:24 PM ET	YES	96¢	5,879	$6K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	NO	95¢	1,345	$1K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	NO	84¢	2,281	$2K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	NO	80¢	4,032	$3K
Oct 30, 10:21 PM ET	YES	54¢	2,691	$1K
Oct 30, 10:19 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,301	$1K
Oct 30, 10:17 PM ET	YES	83¢	1,878	$2K
Oct 30, 10:17 PM ET	NO	17¢	11,425	$2K
Oct 30, 10:16 PM ET	YES	91¢	5,350	$5K
Oct 30, 10:16 PM ET	YES	91¢	3,225	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.