What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 17, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Katsumi vs Ozeki

chance of YES72%

Price range (13h)

52–83%

24h volume

39.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

32.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$14K

100% on YES

hourly, 13h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 2, 9:10 PM ET	YES	87¢	5,617	$5K
Nov 2, 9:04 PM ET	YES	94¢	5,302	$5K
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET	YES	91¢	1,639	$1K
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET	YES	89¢	1,650	$1K
Nov 2, 8:44 PM ET	YES	75¢	2,221	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.