What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 17, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Miyamoto vs Hayasaka

chance of YES1%

Price range (13h)

19–49%

24h volume

57.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

38.8K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

1¢ / 2¢

spread 1.0¢

hourly, 13h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 1.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,143	$1K
Nov 2, 9:28 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,514	$1K
Nov 2, 9:23 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,193	$1K
Nov 2, 9:18 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,174	$1K
Nov 2, 9:13 PM ET	NO	92¢	2,629	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.