What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 17, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Nishimoto vs Sakaguchi

chance of YES88%

Price range (10h)

89–94%

24h volume

33.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

30.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$25K

100% on YES

hourly, 10h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 2, 9:22 PM ET	YES	86¢	4,870	$4K
Nov 2, 9:15 PM ET	YES	88¢	2,883	$3K
Nov 2, 9:09 PM ET	YES	93¢	1,551	$1K
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET	YES	93¢	5,245	$5K
Nov 2, 8:57 PM ET	YES	94¢	2,803	$3K
Nov 2, 8:18 PM ET	YES	94¢	10,031	$9K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.