What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Mike Johnson

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (376d) All outcomes: LA-04 Republican nominee?

chance of YES10% +1.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

2–19%

30d -8 pts · 7d +21 pts

24h volume

2.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

24.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.