What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Mike Nichols

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 25 Event LA-04 Republican nominee?

implied YES probability

-2.3pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 5% · Low 3%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.