What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Best AI this week

chance of YES98% +1.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

80–99%

24h volume

6.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

17.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$9K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Claude0%13.2K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 5:59 PM ET	YES	99¢	4,364	$4K
Oct 29, 8:37 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,335	$1K
Oct 28, 1:13 PM ET	YES	93¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 27, 11:19 AM ET	YES	85¢	1,476	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.