What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Republican defeats Graham Platner

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 250 Open interest 24.3K Event Maine Senate Exact Outcome

38%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 48 days · High 49% · Low 22% · 7d -9.8pp · 30d +8.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.