Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
chance of YES54%
-3.0pp in 24h
Price range (4d)
55–58%
24h volume
5.0K
Open interest
5.0K
Large orders (14d)
$3K
Odds and volume
hourly, 4dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Bilirakis, 4+ pts70%251
Bilirakis, 13+ pts28%500
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 55¢ | 5,000 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.