K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Kansas Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES23% +4.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
7–20%
· 7d +106 pts
24h volume
7.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
8.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Hamilton, 1+ pts47%1.4K
Hamilton, 3+ pts38%3.0K
Hamilton, 7+ pts15%870
Hamilton, 9+ pts8%1.8K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO84¢ 1,980$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.