K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 7 percentage points?

Flanagan, 7+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Minnesota Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES44%
Price range (120d)
41–66%
30d -31 pts · 7d +7 pts
24h volume
315
$1 contracts
Open interest
11.9K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

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Flanagan, 5+ pts60%2.4K
Flanagan, 9+ pts28%4.6K
Flanagan, 11+ pts18%150
Flanagan, 13+ pts12%1.1K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO57¢ 2,000$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.