K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 9 percentage points?

Flanagan, 9+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Minnesota Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES28% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
27–60%
30d +15 pts · 7d +3 pts
24h volume
4.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
18.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
47% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Flanagan, 1+ pts84%253
Flanagan, 3+ pts76%385
Flanagan, 5+ pts60%2.4K
Flanagan, 7+ pts44%315
Flanagan, 11+ pts18%150
Flanagan, 13+ pts12%1.1K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES30¢ 3,821$1K
NO72¢ 1,782$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.