K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Abdul El-Sayed: Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Polls & election odds

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Preview
chance of YES76% +1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
54–76%
30d +3 pts · 7d +13 pts
24h volume
104.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
565.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
76¢ / 77¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
76.0¢ 279 77.0¢ 28,556
75.0¢ 11,133 78.0¢ 10,286
74.0¢ 4,032 79.0¢ 17
73.0¢ 20,000 80.0¢ 800
72.0¢ 36 81.0¢ 55

Mid 76.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Mike Rogers24%95.7K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES76¢ 4,000$3K
YES77¢ 18,828$15K
YES77¢ 18,000$14K
YES76¢ 8,000$6K
YES76¢ 3,000$2K
YES76¢ 1,400$1K
YES77¢ 10,000$8K
YES76¢ 14,000$11K
YES75¢ 3,931$3K
YES75¢ 1,800$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.

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