What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 16, 2026 (10d) All outcomes: NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Winner

chance of YES4% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (2d)

3–5%

24h volume

3.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

9.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 2d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.