What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 07, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Indiana vs Memphis

chance of YES30% +6.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

17–41%

24h volume

17.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

21.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$5K

56% on YES

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Memphis68%43.1K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 3, 5:27 AM ET	YES	26¢	4,418	$1K
Nov 1, 11:24 AM ET	NO	81¢	2,967	$2K
Nov 1, 11:20 AM ET	YES	66¢	2,967	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.