What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 11, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Miami vs Sacramento

chance of YES80% +1.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

71–81%

24h volume

113.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

112.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$81K

100% on YES

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 8, 8:19 AM ET	YES	78¢	5,000	$4K
Nov 8, 8:09 AM ET	YES	77¢	97,477	$75K
Nov 7, 6:01 PM ET	YES	78¢	2,009	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.