What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 16, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Illinois vs UCLA: Spread

chance of YES44% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (47h)

44–47%

24h volume

730

$1 contracts

Open interest

958

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 47h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.