Arizona wins by over 9.5 points
chance of YES54%
+0.5pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
52–54%
24h volume
280.5K
Open interest
281.7K
Bid / ask
53¢ / 54¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 3dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53.0¢ | 593,866 | 54.0¢ | 3,500 |
| 52.0¢ | 339,042 | 55.0¢ | 200 |
| 51.0¢ | 120,855 | 56.0¢ | 143,611 |
| 50.0¢ | 10,591 | 57.0¢ | 150,494 |
| 49.0¢ | 65 | 58.0¢ | 18,967 |
Mid 53.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Arizona wins by over 10.5 points50%65.5K
Arizona wins by over 11.5 points48%21.0K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 53¢ | 157,769 | $84K | |
| NO | 47¢ | 19,148 | $9K | |
| NO | 47¢ | 19,148 | $9K | |
| YES | 53¢ | 82,873 | $44K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.