Arizona wins by over 10.5 points
chance of YES50%
+3.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
47–50%
24h volume
65.5K
Open interest
71.9K
Bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0¢ | 333,224 | 51.0¢ | 2,576 |
| 49.0¢ | 423,686 | 52.0¢ | 287,624 |
| 48.0¢ | 267,379 | 53.0¢ | 410,684 |
| 47.0¢ | 69,611 | 54.0¢ | 110,619 |
| 46.0¢ | 130 | 55.0¢ | 38,823 |
Mid 50.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Arizona wins by over 9.5 points54%280.5K
Arizona wins by over 11.5 points48%21.0K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 50¢ | 18,000 | $9K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 8,100 | $4K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 18,367 | $9K | |
| YES | 48¢ | 18,367 | $9K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.