Arizona wins by over 11.5 points
chance of YES48%
+2.5pp in 24h
Price range (5d)
46–49%
24h volume
21.0K
Open interest
21.6K
Large orders (14d)
$9K
Odds and volume
hourly, 5dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Arizona wins by over 9.5 points54%280.5K
Arizona wins by over 10.5 points50%65.5K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 48¢ | 18,750 | $9K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.