What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 94%, implying a 94% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Jan 31, 2027 (92d) All outcomes: Nebraska corn yield in 2026

chance of YES94% -3.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

86–99%

· 7d -2 pts

24h volume

4.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$11K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 3:11 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 26, 8:23 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,526	$1K
Oct 24, 8:45 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,558	$1K
Oct 23, 11:47 AM ET	YES	98¢	2,020	$2K
Oct 23, 11:42 AM ET	YES	96¢	4,034	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.