What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (50d) All outcomes: Will Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?

chance of YES16% +5.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

14–84%

30d -60 pts · 7d -49 pts

24h volume

168

$1 contracts

Open interest

31.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$1K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 4, 3:19 PM ET	NO	62¢	2,000	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.