What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: Las Vegas vs San Francisco

chance of YES80% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

80–84%

· 7d -2 pts

24h volume

16.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

80.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$2K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 1, 8:33 PM ET	YES	80¢	2,000	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.