Las Vegas wins
chance of YES28%
+0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
28–39%
24h volume
141.3K
Open interest
337.3K
Bid / ask
28¢ / 29¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.0¢ | 150,963 | 29.0¢ | 3,490,270 |
| 27.0¢ | 93,050 | 30.0¢ | 1,623,043 |
| 26.0¢ | 131,920 | 31.0¢ | 1,159,303 |
| 25.0¢ | 96,850 | 32.0¢ | 60,544 |
| 24.0¢ | 5,338 | 33.0¢ | 382 |
Mid 28.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Seattle72%53.0K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 28¢ | 8,000 | $2K | |
| YES | 28¢ | 4,367 | $1K | |
| NO | 73¢ | 1,428 | $1K | |
| NO | 73¢ | 2,014 | $1K | |
| YES | 28¢ | 5,100 | $1K | |
| YES | 28¢ | 4,080 | $1K | |
| NO | 70¢ | 4,300 | $3K | |
| NO | 64¢ | 1,896 | $1K | |
| NO | 64¢ | 63,965 | $41K | |
| YES | 42¢ | 63,965 | $27K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.