What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Florida vs Washington

chance of YES98% +45.0pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

44–99%

24h volume

300.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

175.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$125K

90% on YES

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Florida2%432.4K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 7, 3:04 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,066	$1K
Nov 7, 3:03 PM ET	YES	99¢	8,989	$9K
Nov 7, 3:03 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,603	$3K
Nov 7, 3:00 PM ET	YES	96¢	6,812	$7K
Nov 7, 2:57 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,631	$2K
Nov 7, 2:54 PM ET	YES	96¢	5,169	$5K
Nov 7, 2:54 PM ET	YES	96¢	5,992	$6K
Nov 7, 2:54 PM ET	YES	96¢	5,775	$6K
Nov 7, 2:53 PM ET	YES	96¢	2,580	$2K
Nov 7, 2:53 PM ET	YES	96¢	4,772	$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.