What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (539d) 24h volume 15 Open interest 2.5K Event Oscar winner: Best Director

11%

implied YES probability

Last 16 days · High 12% · Low 9% · 7d +9.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.