Will Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the Oscars?

Martin McDonagh
Settles Dec 31, 2027 (430d) All outcomes: Oscar Winner: Best Director

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chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
1–8%
30d -40 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
69
$1 contracts
Open interest
19.2K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO97¢ 2,057$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.