What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 85%, implying a 85% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

1949 / Fatherland

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (539d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 658 Event Oscar nominees: Best International Feature Film

85%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 89% · Low 68% · 7d +12.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.