What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 30, 2032. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Oil

Closes Dec 30, 2032 (2388d) 24h volume 43 Open interest 10.4K Event What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

56%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 87 days · High 80% · Low 36% · 7d +9.3pp · 30d +5.4pp

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.