What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 57%, implying a 57% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume 191 Open interest 749 Event Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

57%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 40 days · High 96% · Low 43% · 7d -16.1pp · 30d -24.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.