What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume 67 Open interest 4.8K Event Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

38%

implied YES probability

Last 80 days · High 78% · Low 6% · 7d +52.0pp · 30d -11.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.