What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 30, 2026 (22d) All outcomes: Focker-In-Law · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES96% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

82–97%

24h volume

275

$1 contracts

Open interest

8.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$12K

100% on YES

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 6, 9:54 AM ET	YES	96¢	4,650	$4K
Nov 5, 3:48 PM ET	YES	89¢	1,522	$1K
Nov 5, 3:47 PM ET	YES	85¢	4,729	$4K
Nov 4, 9:59 PM ET	YES	83¢	2,172	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.