What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 23, 2026 (15d) All outcomes: I Play Rocky · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES98% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

51–98%

30d +34 pts · 7d +11 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

22.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$15K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 4, 8:41 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,964	$2K
Nov 4, 5:10 PM ET	YES	96¢	2,043	$2K
Nov 4, 9:31 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,822	$2K
Nov 4, 9:08 AM ET	YES	93¢	4,051	$4K
Oct 29, 5:36 PM ET	YES	87¢	1,446	$1K
Oct 27, 2:30 PM ET	YES	81¢	2,724	$2K
Oct 24, 10:54 PM ET	YES	73¢	3,114	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.