What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 85

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (20d) All outcomes: Wild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES98% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

76–99%

30d +15 pts · 7d +1 pts

24h volume

6.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

63.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$27K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 19, 12:42 AM ET	YES	99¢	6,691	$7K
Oct 16, 3:12 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,899	$2K
Oct 16, 3:08 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,905	$4K
Oct 15, 8:36 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,440	$1K
Oct 13, 3:04 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,465	$2K
Oct 8, 7:02 PM ET	YES	98¢	9,000	$9K
Oct 8, 7:02 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,000	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.