What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 95

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (20d) All outcomes: Wild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES8% +2.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

2–28%

30d -54 pts · 7d +200 pts

24h volume

126

$1 contracts

Open interest

21.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$7K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 15, 5:40 PM ET	NO	92¢	1,800	$2K
Oct 6, 10:33 AM ET	NO	92¢	5,689	$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.