What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 74%, implying a 74% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 92

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (20d) All outcomes: Wild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES74% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

16–74%

30d +106 pts · 7d +35 pts

24h volume

207

$1 contracts

Open interest

14.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$2K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 13, 10:54 PM ET	YES	55¢	2,253	$1K
Oct 6, 6:43 PM ET	YES	50¢	2,050	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.