What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 86%, implying a 86% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 15, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Disney+

Settles Feb 15, 2027 (129d) All outcomes: Which brands will advertise during the Big Game?

chance of YES86% +4.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

86–98%

30d -8 pts · 7d +3 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

655

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.