K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will Chiang Wan-an win the 2026 Taipei mayoral election?

Chiang Wan-an
Settles Nov 28, 2027 (405d) All outcomes: Taipei mayoral election winner?

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Preview
chance of YES60% +1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
21–97%
30d +186 pts · 7d -2 pts
24h volume
471
$1 contracts
Open interest
57.5K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
66¢ / 67¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
66.0¢ 26 67.0¢ 115
65.0¢ 28 68.0¢ 536
64.0¢ 54 69.0¢ 42
63.0¢ 188 70.0¢ 267
62.0¢ 556 86.0¢ 31

Mid 66.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Shen Bo-yang38%26.1K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES68¢ 2,161$1K
YES66¢ 2,943$2K
NO42¢ 4,562$2K
YES74¢ 6,568$5K
YES68¢ 4,319$3K
YES84¢ 2,929$2K
YES79¢ 4,515$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.