What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 94%, implying a 94% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: South Africa vs Australia

chance of YES94% +60.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

16–48%

24h volume

282.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

270.8K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

93¢ / 97¢

spread 4.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 95.0¢ · spread 4.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 6:30 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,739	$3K
Oct 31, 6:30 AM ET	YES	99¢	5,000	$5K
Oct 31, 6:15 AM ET	YES	96¢	2,075	$2K
Oct 31, 6:04 AM ET	YES	95¢	1,200	$1K
Oct 31, 6:01 AM ET	YES	97¢	2,797	$3K
Oct 31, 5:50 AM ET	YES	85¢	1,200	$1K
Oct 31, 5:03 AM ET	YES	81¢	1,407	$1K
Oct 31, 5:02 AM ET	YES	74¢	1,378	$1K
Oct 31, 4:36 AM ET	YES	64¢	1,768	$1K
Oct 31, 4:32 AM ET	YES	48¢	5,467	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.