Draw/Tie wins
chance of YES5%
-4.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
7–15%
24h volume
591.7K
Open interest
549.6K
Bid / ask
2¢ / 7¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0¢ | 10,226 | 7.0¢ | 2,005 |
| 1.0¢ | 19,960 | 8.0¢ | 197 |
| 14.0¢ | 25 | ||
| 15.0¢ | 10 | ||
| 17.0¢ | 105 |
Mid 4.5¢ · spread 5.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
South Africa94%282.7K
Australia1%411.9K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 99¢ | 3,437 | $3K | |
| NO | 99¢ | 3,326 | $3K | |
| NO | 99¢ | 1,655 | $2K | |
| NO | 99¢ | 12,324 | $12K | |
| NO | 98¢ | 3,650 | $4K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 1,369 | $1K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 1,173 | $1K | |
| NO | 93¢ | 9,697 | $9K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 1,163 | $1K | |
| NO | 85¢ | 2,963 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.