What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 60%, implying a 60% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 08, 2026 (7d) All outcomes: Target Foot Traffic in October

chance of YES60% +7.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

30–65%

· 7d +20 pts

24h volume

2.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

10.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$3K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 5:41 PM ET	YES	65¢	2,078	$1K
Oct 27, 10:07 PM ET	YES	31¢	5,192	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.