What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiCrypto

Exponent

Settles Dec 31, 2026 (75d) All outcomes: Who will launch a token this year?

chance of YES28% -4.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

5–33%

30d +53 pts · 7d +123 pts

24h volume

154

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Arc13%30