What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 45%, implying a 45% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 186T tokens

Settles Oct 26, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25

chance of YES45% -29.0pp in 24h

Price range (43h)

26–74%

24h volume

204

$1 contracts

Open interest

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 43h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.