Fraud (3+ times): What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Daytona Beach, Florida originally scheduled for October 30, 2026?
chance of YES80%
+11.5pp in 24h
Price range (4d)
22–86%
24h volume
5.7K
Open interest
9.8K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
hourly, 4dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Save America Act96%41.4K
America First94%2.5K
Tariff (3+ times)92%2.2K
Hormuz90%5.2K
Gulf of America86%7.4K
Canada / Canadian86%1.4K
Iran (5+ times)82%6.6K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 82¢ | 1,942 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.